The Recession Is Over?

Posted by Katie Paulsen
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The recession was over in June 2009, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research, but some real estate practitioners might find that hard to believe.

The U.S. economy shrank 4.1 percent from the fourth quarter of 2007 to the second quarter of 2009, the biggest slump since the 1930s, revised figures from the Commerce Department showed in July.

Economists didn’t pretend that the recession was getting better fast. “In determining that a trough occurred in June 2009, the committee did not conclude that economic conditions since that month have been favorable or that the economy has returned to operating at normal capacity,” the NBER said Monday in a statement.

Sung Won Sohn, an economics professor at California State University Channel Islands, sees continuing slowness in the housing market as a worrisome trend. "If it keeps sliding, it will pull the whole economy down," he said. "We estimate that one out of eight U.S. jobs depends on housing - construction, mortgages, things in and around the house."

Source: Bloomberg, Steve Matthews (09/20/2010) and The San Francisco Chronicle, Carolyn Said (09/21/2010)

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Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the HRIS.
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