September closed strong with 7,399 single-family sales (+5.3% YoY), a median $327,000 (–2.1%), and an average $421,655 (+0.4%). Inventory surged 24.7%, bringing Houston’s months-of-supply near 5.5 months. Week 41 showed 2 990 new listings (+18.1%) and 1,689 off-market (+21.2%), while pending deals slipped 4.4%. Mortgage rates hover ~6.4%, keeping affordability tight yet manageable.
Buyers finally have room to breathe—longer shopping windows and price flexibility. Clean, staged homes still attract quick offers, but overpricing stalls results fast. Sellers who respond to market feedback—by trimming price or adding closing-cost help—win faster.
Builders around Manvel and Katy continue offering incentives (credit or rate buydowns) to clear inventory. Expect stronger buyer momentum through November as rates stay range-bound.
Insider note: Open houses hit ~9,500 citywide last week—serious shoppers are back on the weekends.
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Resources
HAR September 2025 Market Update HAR Weekly Activity Snapshot Week 41 (Oct 7–13 2025) Freddie Mac Mortgage Survey (early Oct 2025)
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The views and opinions expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the HRIS.
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