If you're a Houston buyer watching mortgage rates and waiting for them to drop, here's where things stand. As of the week of June 18, the 30-year fixed averaged 6.47% and the 15-year 5.81%, according to Freddie Mac's weekly survey. Both eased a little from the week before, and both sit below where they were a year ago, when the 30-year was running about 6.81%.
Quick but important caveat: those are national averages for borrowers with strong credit and a healthy down payment. I'm a Realtor and broker, not a lender, so I'll always point you to a trusted Houston loan officer for a real quote — your actual rate depends on your credit, your loan type, and how much you put down.
Now the question I get every week: should I wait for rates to come down before I buy? There's an old line in this business — marry the house, date the rate. The rate you lock today isn't forever. If rates fall meaningfully later, you refinance. But the house, you only buy once, at today's price.
That's the real trade-off. While you wait for a lower rate, two things can move against you: prices can keep climbing, and the moment rates dip, every other sidelined buyer jumps back in and competition heats up. To put numbers on it, a $350,000 loan at this week's 6.47% runs about $2,205 a month in principal and interest. At last year's 6.81% that same loan was around $2,284 — roughly $79 more a month. Real money, but rarely the thing that should decide a 30-year purchase when prices and inventory are also shifting.
None of this is "buy now no matter what." It's that the smart play is to be ready — pre-approved, clear on your budget, watching the right homes in Cypress, Katy, or wherever you're looking — so when the right house and a rate you're comfortable with line up, you can act instead of scramble.
If you're weighing the wait in the Houston area, I'm happy to talk it through with no obligation. Reach me, Kevan Pewitt, at Houston Prime Realty — call or text (281) 500-7077.