Whats Next for Home Prices and Mortgage Rates?

If youre thinking of making a move this year, there are two housing market factors that are probably on your mind: home prices and mortgage rates. Youre wondering whats going to happen next. And if its worth it to move now, or better to wait it out.

The only thing you can really do is make the best decision you can based on the latest information available. So, heres what experts are saying about both prices and rates.

1. Whats Next for Home Prices?

One reliable place you can turn to for information on home price forecasts is the Home Price Expectations Survey from Fannie Mae a survey of over one hundred economists, real estate experts, and investment and market strategists.

According to the most recent release, experts are projecting home prices will continue to rise at least through 2028 (see the graph below):

While the percent of appreciation varies year-to-year, this survey says well see prices rise (not fall) for at least the next 5 years, and at a much more normal pace.

What does that mean for your move? If you buy now, your home will likely grow in value and you should gain equity in the years ahead. But, based on these forecasts, if you wait and prices continue to climb, the price of a home will only be higher later on. 

2. When Will Mortgage Rates Come Down?

This is the million-dollar question in the industry. And theres no easy way to answer it. Thats because there are a number of factors that are contributing to the volatile mortgage rate environment were in. Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, explains:

Every month brings a new set of inflation and labor data that can influence the direction of mortgage rates. Ongoing inflation deceleration, a slowing economy and even geopolitical uncertainty can contribute to lower mortgage rates. On the other hand, data that signals upside risk to inflation may result in higher rates.

What happens next will depend on where each of those factors goes from here. Experts are optimistic rates should still come down later this year, but acknowledge changing economic indicators will continue to have an impact. As a CNET article says:

Though mortgage rates could still go down later in the year, housing market predictions change regularly in response to economic data, geopolitical events and more.

So, if youre ready, willing, and able to afford a home right now, partner with a trusted real estate advisor to weigh your options and decide whats right for you. 

Venessa James - Broker Associate    

ABR, ALHS, CHMS, MCNE, LUXE, SFR, SRS  

Platinum Experience Group - KW Professionals 

(281) 889-8292 platinumexperiencegroup.com

Integrity, Experience, Results 

Bottom Line

Connect with a trusted real estate agent to make sure you have the latest information available on home prices and mortgage rate expectations. Together youll go over what the experts are saying so you can make an informed decision on your move.