HOUSTON’S HOUSING INVENTORY REACHES AN HISTORIC LOW IN NOVEMBER

Posted by Nora Gonzalez
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HOUSTON  (December 17, 2013) — Houston home sales recorded a 30th straight month in positive territory in November, with buyers plunging inventory levels to an all-time low. The supply of homes fell to 2.9 months of inventory compared to 4.1 months in November 2012. Throughout 2013, inventory has dwindled from a 3.6-month supply in January to a 3.1-month supply in October, as more homes were being snapped up than were listed for sale.

Nonetheless, there are signs that the buying frenzy may be tapering. According to the latest monthly report prepared by the Houston Association of REALTORS®, home sales climbed 3.3 percent year-over-year – the smallest one-month sales increase since June 2011. November single-family home sales totaled 5,108. That is the lowest one-month sales volume since February of this year.

An ever-shrinking supply of homes put more upward pressure on pricing, as it has each month throughout the year. The median price of a single-family home—the figure at which half the homes sold for more and half for less—rose 8.7 percent to $181,000. The average price increased 8.4 percent year-over-year to $245,707. Both figures represent the highest prices for a November in Houston.

For the past several months, all but the under-$80,000 segment of the single-family market have experienced sales growth. November, however, saw declining sales in both the sub-$80,000 market and the $80,000-$150,000 market, and a slowing rate of closings in the $150,000-$500,000 range. The luxury market performed at rates consistent with earlier months of the year.

“It does not come as a surprise that the Houston housing market is showing signs of slowing down,” said HAR Chairman Danny Frank with Coldwell Banker, United REALTORS®. “There simply isn’t a plentiful supply of available homes out there. We are also in the midst of the holidays when, traditionally, home sales ease as consumers focus on their families and gift-giving. In addition, there has been an uptick in mortgage interest rates, which may have convinced prospective buyers to postpone home purchases until the new year.”

Foreclosure property sales reported in the HAR Multiple Listing Service (MLS) fell 49.0 percent compared to November 2012. Foreclosures currently make up 7.7 percent of all property sales, down from 19.6 percent at the start of the year. The median price of foreclosures rose 8.6 percent to $88,000.

November sales of all property types in totaled 6,180, a 5.6 percent increase over the same month last year. Total dollar volume for properties sold rose 13.1 percent to $1.5 billion versus $1.3 billion a year earlier.

November Monthly Market Comparison

Houston’s real estate market saw gains in all measurements in November when comparing sales to November 2012. Total property sales, total dollar volume and average and median pricing all rose on a year-over-year basis.

Month-end pending sales totaled 3,273, a 0.2 percent gain over last year and another possible indication of slower sales when the December numbers are tallied. Active listings, or the number of available properties, at the end of November dropped 17.0 percent to 30,341.

Houston’s inventory of available homes declined from 3.1 months in October to 2.9 months in November, down from 4.1 months of inventory one year ago. The inventory of single-family homes across the U.S. currently stands at 5.0 months, according to the latest report from the National Association of REALTORS®.

CATEGORIES NOVEMBER 2012 NOVEMBER 2013 CHANGE
Total property sales 5,853 6,180 5.6%
Total dollar volume $1,293,602,179 $1,463,409,519 13.1%
Total active listings 36,539 30,341 -17.0%
Total pending sales 3,267 3,273 0.2%
Single-family home sales 4,943 5,108 3.3%
Single-family average sales price $226,699 $245,707 8.4%
Single-family median sales price $166,500 $181,000 8.7%
Months inventory* 4.1 2.9 -29.7%
* Months inventory estimates the number of months it will take to deplete current active inventory based on the prior 12 months sales activity. This figure is representative of the single-family homes market.

Single-Family Homes Update

November sales of single-family homes in Houston totaled 5,108, up 3.3 percent from November 2012. That marks the 30th consecutive monthly increase. It also represents the smallest one-month sales increase since June 2011 and the lowest one-month sales volume since February 2013. 

Home prices reached the highest levels ever recorded in Houston for a November. The single-family median price rose 8.7 percent from last year to $181,000 and the average price climbed 8.4 percent year-over-year to $245,707.


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Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the HRIS.
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